Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Daily Trading Calls

HCLTECH
Execution Price Range                       Stop Loss                   Target
Buy Between Rs 340 to 345              336                              356


HINDUNILVR
Execution Price Range                        Stop Loss                     Target
Buy Between Rs 278 to 282                   276                           288


ORCHIDCHEM
Execution Price Range                      Stop Loss                         Target
Buy Between Rs 175 to 179               172                                   187


USD/INR DAILY

Dollar fell on Monday as equity market continued their bull run and dollar index fell leading to buying witnessed across major asset classes. USDINR near month futures opened the day at 46.58 nearly 9 paisa down from previous close of 46.67 and closed the day at 46.52. The reason for this was attributed to rise in Nifty which closed 51 points up at 5103 points. In international news, dollar index fell as sale of existing U.S homes rose last month to the highest level since February 2007. Existing Home Sales rose to 6.10 million from expectation of 5.70 millions indicating positive sentiments in the markets. Today all eyes will be set on GDP data of U.S. due to be released in the evening. American economy is expected to rise by 2.8% against 3.5% previous month. Any figures above expectation will lead to bullish sentiments in equities, commodities and currency markets. In domestic markets Liquidity continued to grow as Money supply (M3) which comprises of currency in circulation, bank deposits and money invested in other saving plans grew 17.8% in past two weeks to Rs.51.7 trillion. A close below 46.45 will change the weekly trend of USDINR and one can expect pair to touch 46.00. In Intraday 46.30 will act as a crucial support while 46.65 will act as a key resistance.

                             Pivot         Support 1     Support 2      Resistance 1       Resistance 2
Spot                    46.5067     46.3883         46.2917         46.6033            46.7217
Nov. Future          46.5158    46.4367        46.3458          46.6067           46.6858

Yesterday Market Summary


Last trading day: Monday, 23 November
 It was a fantastic day for our market that built on its gains and closed higher also thanks to positive global cues. Sensex shut shop at 17180, up 158 points and Nifty at 5103, up 51 points from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was up 0.44% and BSE Smallcap index was up 0.84%. BSE oil and gas index was up nearly 3% (RIL helped this index and it traded higher on news of acquiring Dutch company Lyondellbasell). The market breadth was positive with advances at 729 against declines of 541 on the NSE. Top Nifty gainers includedHCL TechnologiesGAIL and Cipla while losers wereBharti AirtelIdea Cellular and JP Associates. 
The market consolidation seems over and Nifty is headed higher to 5350, says Sandeep Bhardwaj of Tower Capital on CNBC TV18. Nifty could make new highs by December with a target of 5550 by the year end, he adds.   
Use fall in EMs and commodities as an opportunity to buy, says Adrian Mowat of JP Morgan on CNBC TV18. Interest rates in India may remain at current levels through 2010, he feels. Dollar strength may lead to short-term fall, he says. Don't see very high earnings revision in India, he says. Correction in 2010 to be more aggressive, he adds.