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Friday, January 29, 2010
ALL NEWS LETTERS RELATED TODAY TRADING SESSION
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Daily Trading tips
Market Outlook
Nifty opened positive following the global cues and witnessed recovery from the lower
levels around 4820-4840 levels. Then it finally closed marginally higher with the
volatility and high volume. Today global markets are negative so we may see negative
opening with sustained selling pressure in the market at current levels. If Nifty
sustains below 4850 levels then again selling pressure may get intense in the market
till 4800-4750 levels. Medium term market trend looks negative till the time Nifty
sustains above 4950-5000 levels.
AXIS BANK
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 1005 to 1020 1025 987
TATA STEEL
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 580 to 588 590 572
CROMTON GREAVS
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 420 to 428 430 412
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Intraday Trading Calls for dt 29-01-10
| Short Calls on | 29-Jan-10 | ||||
| NSE Equity code | Sale below | Target (1) | Target (2) | Stop Loss | Target1 Percent |
| LAKSHMIEFL | 143.90 | 139.60 | 134.95 | 146.60 | -2.99 |
| SAKHTISUG | 82.40 | 80.20 | 77.45 | 84.00 | -2.67 |
| Nifty Target and Stop loss | Bearish | |||
| Stop Loss 1 | Stop loss 2 | Pivot | Target 1 | Target 2 |
| 4769.08 | 4818.17 | 4874.03 | 4923.12 | 4978.98 |
| Note: - | 1.If Bullish take only Long Position don't short. | |||
| 2.If Bearish take only Short Position don't long. | ||||
OPM Capital : Intraday Trading Tips
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Thursday, January 28, 2010
SOME BROKARAGE NEWS LETTER FOR EXPIRY (TODAY NEWS LETTERS)
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Investment Idea...
Supreme Petrochem Ltd.
CMP Rs 31/-
Target [6 months] 50/-
BUY.
RESULT UPDATE
Results for half year ended - Dec.09, are better then expected and
going by first half profit of Rs 27.11 Crs [against loss of Rs 45.74 Crs]
we estimate [on conservative basis], full year profit to be around Rs
97 Crs, giving an EPS of Rs 10/-.[better then our expected EPS of
around Rs 9/-]. We also expect increased dividend to around 18-20%
this year, making it good for dividend yield also. BUY.
Investment Argument
• The company manufactures polystyrene, Speciality
Polysterene, Expanded Polysterene [XPS] and
Expandable Polysterene [EPS].
• They are common plastic inputs used for making various
Packaging products, insulation boards, toughned
plastic parts for consumer electronic gadgets and high
tech components for automobiles etc.
• Company has entered in to MOU with Nova Chemicals
of USA for producing CUP grade EPS beads, with
arrangements to sell back to Nova, as also to selected
countries. This is a restricted high technology product, and
if all goes well, company will setup 20,000 MTs capacity by
June 2010.
• Company is also setting up SEZ for Plastic processing
in Raigarh, Maharashtra and a minor port nearby.
• Last year's performance of company was poor due to tight
availability of key input -styrene monomer, high volatiltity
and falling trend in input prices, leading squeezed margins.
• Now, with improved supplies and stable prices of key
input, the margins have improved from Q-4, and they are
likely to remain so.
• With economic activity picking up, the demand for
company's products will grow at a healthy pace. We expect
company to report significant improvement in
performance in current year.
• The stock is available at 3X of our expected earnings for
2010 and looks attractive for investment. Buy with target
of Rs 55 in 12 month's time frame.
Background
The company manufactures polystyrene [2,72,000], Speciality Polysterene
[25,000], Expanded Polysterene [XPS] [5,000] and Expandable Polysterene
[EPS]. It is the leader in Polystyrene business in the Indian market place with more
than 50% market share and is also the largest exporter of Polysterene from India
to more than 80 countries. Its exports are also significant.
It will expand the capacity of the speciality Polysterene products further to
50,000 Mts [from 25,000 Mts] in next couple of years. These are used in Alloys/
Blends/ Compounds/ Masterbatches of polymers and mainly in auto/autocomponents
segment. Company has achieved TS-16949 certification, which is
pre-requisite for product uses in automobile segment.
XPS board plant is one of its kind with green technology, these boards are used
as an important insulation medium for residential or commercial buildings, thus
saving on air-conditioning and electricity. Company is developing Insulation as
total value added solution to be offered to retail as well as institutional clients.
The company has taken over management control of Shin Ho Petrochemical
(India) ltd, and existing player in Expanded Polystyrene (EPS) in Chennai, with
an installed capacity of 6,000TPA. Capacity expansion for the same is under
progress.
Company has entered in to MOU with Nova Chemicals of USA for producing
CUP grade EPS beads, with arrangements to sell back to Nova, as also to
selected countries. This is a restricted high technology product, and if all goes well,
company will setup 20,000 MTs capacity by June 2010.
The main inputs are Styrene Monomer and PBR. Styrene Monomer prices are
directly linked to the crude prices which are steady now and the availability is also
comfortable, with the new capacities going on stream in the current year in Kuwait,
Saudi Arabia and Iran.
Company is also setting up SEZ for plastic processing in Raigarh and a minor
port nearby.
Risks and concerns
The key input Styrene monomer is also fully imported and prone to price volatility.
As key input is fully imported and exports are also significant, so forex
fluctuations/management is another risk.
Result Update & Recommendation
Results for the company for H-1 ended Dec.'09 were in line with our expectations
and company reported profit of Rs 27.11 Crs [against loss of 45.74 Crs]. In
second half last year company made profit of Rs 65 Crs. Now looking to improved
utilization and reducing interest cost, if we assume a very modest profit Rs 70
Crs in second half, the total PAT for full year will be Rs 97 Crs. In this case,
we think, stock can show EPS of Rs 10/- for full year and looks underpriced.
Company may also give good dividend of 18-20% and in that case yield will also
be very good at current prices. BUY….BUY
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Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Nifty Noon Tips
VERY SHORT TERM VIEW : CAUTION
• Nifty opened negative with weak global cues and tested 4900
mark on the back of selling pressure in Realty, Auto and Metal
sector stocks. The market breadth is weak as small and midcap
shares also succumbed to selling pressure. Now Nifty
has crucial support of 4880-4850 levels for the market and if it
breaks then further selling could be seen in the market till 4800-
4750 levels. For market to show any reversal for up move it has
to close above 5050 levels.
• Negative below: If Nifty sustains below 4880 levels and breaks
4850 levels then it may fall and further profit booking till 4800-
4750 could be seen in the market.
• Positive above: Any close above 5050-5100 levels could be
considered as positive sign for markets; in that situation it may
continue to rally till 5250 levels.
TRIGGER LEVLES
• Strategy to be adopted: Wait and
Watch approach as all sell calls target
reached, if still holding shorts then
can keep trailing stop loss of 4930
levels.
• European markets opened negative.
• Declines outnumbered Advances in
trade. 1162 shares declined while 120
shares advanced and 36 shares remain
unchanged on NSE (By 1.40PM).
NIFTY HOURLY CHART (FOR VERY SHORT TERM VIEW: 1-2 DAYS)
IMP. NOTE: The BM/RM/Dealers should keep in mind trigger levels given
above and get
mandate from clients accordingly so that when required triggers happen
they can execute the
trades without waiting for calls.
• Nifty opened negative with weak global cues and tested 4900
mark on the back of selling pressure in Realty, Auto and Metal
sector stocks. The market breadth is weak as small and midcap
shares also succumbed to selling pressure. Now Nifty
has crucial support of 4880-4850 levels for the market and if it
breaks then further selling could be seen in the market till 4800-
4750 levels. For market to show any reversal for up move it has
to close above 5050 levels.
• Negative below: If Nifty sustains below 4880 levels and breaks
4850 levels then it may fall and further profit booking till 4800-
4750 could be seen in the market.
• Positive above: Any close above 5050-5100 levels could be
considered as positive sign for markets; in that situation it may
continue to rally till 5250 levels.
TRIGGER LEVLES
• Strategy to be adopted: Wait and
Watch approach as all sell calls target
reached, if still holding shorts then
can keep trailing stop loss of 4930
levels.
• European markets opened negative.
• Declines outnumbered Advances in
trade. 1162 shares declined while 120
shares advanced and 36 shares remain
unchanged on NSE (By 1.40PM).
NIFTY HOURLY CHART (FOR VERY SHORT TERM VIEW: 1-2 DAYS)
IMP. NOTE: The BM/RM/Dealers should keep in mind trigger levels given
above and get
mandate from clients accordingly so that when required triggers happen
they can execute the
trades without waiting for calls.
Guide for short term Traders :
SHORT TERM TREND : 2-7 DAYS
SUPPORT RESISTANCE
NIFTY 4800,4750(Weak below 4750 ) 5080, 5150 (Strong above 5150)
Guide for positional Traders :
MEDIUM TERM TREND : 2-8 WEEKS
SUPPORT RESISTANCE
NIFTY 4750, 4700 (Weak below 4700) 5200-5250(Strong above 5250)
Trading tips
Market Outlook
Today looking at Global cues Nifty may open negative, 4900 in Nifty is very critical
support and a small pull back is very much possible from around those levels. But
still Nifty below 5000 levels it is vulnerable to negative news flows and if it closes
below 4900 than it can go down till 4850 – 4800 levels. Further if Nifty moves above
5050 levels it may move till 5150-5180 levels.
ITC
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 248 to 254 246 261
BHARTI AIRTEL
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 320 to 326 318 333
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Trading Tips
Market Outlook
Today looking at Global cues Nifty may open negative, 4900 in Nifty is very critical
support and a small pull back is very much possible from around those levels. But
still Nifty below 5000 levels it is vulnerable to negative news flows and if it closes
below 4900 than it can go down till 4850 – 4800 levels. Further if Nifty moves above
5050 levels it may move till 5150-5180 levels.
ITC
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 248 to 254 246 261
BHARTI AIRTEL
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 320 to 326 318 333
HUL
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 256 to 260 255 264
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Daily news letter fo today trading session
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Friday, January 22, 2010
Daily Trading Tips...
Market Outlook
After a negative opening S&P CNX Nifty consolidated around 5180 levels but later
on disappointing result from heavy weights (L&T and ICICIBank) and breaching of
an important support of 5150 level with volume pick up resulted sustained heavy
selling pressure in the market. The market turnover was much higher with
significant fall so suggest caution and keep the position light in the market at
current level till the time Nifty doesn't show any pullback above 5150 levels. Today
global markets are also negative and FIIs were heavy sellers in F&O as well as cash
segment so this may definitely put pressure on our market. If nifty sustains below
5050 and falls below 5020 level then further selling pressure towards 4950-4920
could not be ruled out in the market.
SBIN
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 2105 to 2125 2140 2065
INDIAN OIL CORP
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 310 to 315 317 303
M&M
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 1138 to 1148 1157 1115
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NIFTY TRENDS
Guide for short term Traders :
SHORT TERM TREND : 2-7 DAYS
SUPPORT RESISTANCE
NIFTY 5050, 4950(Weak below 4950 ) 5150, 5180 (Strong above 5180)
Guide for positional Traders :
MEDIUM TERM TREND : 2-8 WEEKS
SUPPORT RESISTANCE
NIFTY 5000, 4900 (Weak below 4900) 5250(Strong above 5250)
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Intraday Trading Calls dt 22-01-10
| Short Calls on | 22-Jan-10 | ||||
| NSE Equity code | Sale below | Target (1) | Target (2) | Stop Loss | Target1 Percent |
| UNITECH | 83.90 | 82.00 | 79.90 | 84.90 | -2.26 |
| Nifty Target and Stop loss | Bearish | |||
| Stop Loss 1 | Stop loss 2 | Pivot | Target 1 | Target 2 |
| 4998.42 | 5046.28 | 5133.32 | 5181.18 | 5268.22 |
| Note: - | 1.If Bullish take only Long Position don't short. | |||
| 2.If Bearish take only Short Position don't long. | ||||
OPM Capital : Intraday Trading Tips
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Thursday, January 21, 2010
Today Hot Picks
Market Outlook
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Yesterday Nifty opened positive but could not sustain at higher levels and witnessed
selling pressure till 5200 levels then finally closed marginal negative at 5220 levels. In
view of sustain selling pressure at higher levels and weak global markets, today our
market may open flat to negative then witness selling pressure at higher levels. If
Nifty sustains below 5170 levels and falls below important support of 5150 levels then
only selling pressure may get intense in the market and we may test 5080-5050 level
in coming days. On upside if it moves above 5250 levels then buying interest may
emerge in the market.
BHARTIARTL
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 323 to 330 320 340
ABAN OFFSHORE
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 1440 to 1460 1470 1410
PUNJLLOYD
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 206 to 212 214 199
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Intraday Trading Calls dt 21-01-10
| Long Calls on | 21-Jan-10 | ||||
| NSE Equity code | Buy above | Target (1) | Target (2) | Stop Loss | Target1 Percent |
| BRFL | 215.00 | 222.35 | 227.15 | 210.20 | 3.42 |
| Short Calls on | 21-Jan-10 | ||||
| NSE Equity code | Sale below | Target (1) | Target (2) | Stop Loss | Target1 Percent |
| BALRAMCHIN | 128.40 | 126.80 | 124.15 | 129.40 | -1.25 |
| Nifty Target and Stop loss | No Direction | |||
| Stop Loss 1 | Stop loss 2 | Pivot | Target 1 | Target 2 |
| 5171.30 | 5196.50 | 5226.60 | 5251.80 | 5281.90 |
| Note: - | 1.If Bullish take only Long Position don't short. | |||
| 2.If Bearish take only Short Position don't long. | ||||
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