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Thanks & Regards
Narendra Yadav
Market Outlook
Yesterday after a range bound move in early trading session, S&P CNX Nifty witnessed short covering and finally at the end of the day closed at 5080 levels. If S&P CNX Nifty sustains above 5150-5160 levels then further up move may be seen in the market towards 5200 levels. On downside if it falls below 5080 levels then only selling pressure may get intense in the market and we may test 5050-5020 levels. We have seen that 4980-5000 levels has been working as a strong support for the market so till the time it sustains those levels we are in safe zone.
ASHOK LEYLAND
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 62 to 64 60 69
AXISBANK
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 1242 to 1256 1227 1297
IFCI
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 54 to 56 52 61
Market Outlook
Yesterday our market opened gap down as taking cues from week global markets and S&P CNX Nifty finally closed below psychological 5000 levels. In view of mixed global markets, today our market may see flattish opening and move in a range bound manner. If S&P CNX Nifty falls below 4950 levels then further selling pressure may get intense in the market and we may test 4920-4900 levels. On upside if it sustains above 5000 levels then only further up move may be seen in the market towards 5040-5060 (which is a strong medium term resistance for the market) levels. We would advise to keep the position light and remain cautious in the market at higher levels as global markets are weighing heavy on domestic indices.
ADITYA BIRLA NUVO (ABIRLANUVO)
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 737 to 747 731 768
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK (PNB)
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 995 to 1008 985 1035
CUMMIND IND
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 560 to 570 554 586
Market Outlook
Yesterday our market opened gap down as taking cues from week global markets, S&P CNX Nifty took support around psychological 5000 levels but finally closed in negative with the loss of around 100 points. In view of mixed global markets, today our market may see flattish opening and move in a range bound manner. If S&P CNX Nifty falls below psychological 5000 levels then selling pressure may get intense in the market and we may test 4980-4950 levels. On upside if it sustains above 5050-5060 levels with volume support then only further up move may be seen in the market towards 5080-5100 levels. We would advise to keep the position light and remain cautious in the market at higher levels as global markets are weighing heavy on domestic indices.
ANDHRABANK
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 135 to 138 133 145
TECHM
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 700 to 710 689 740
SYNDICATE BANK
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 93.50 to 95.50 92 101
CMP 225/-
Investment Rationale
Welspun Corp Limited is part of the $ 1.5 billion Welspun Group and is
Welspun had an order book of over Rs66 bn and is expected to grow as the global capex cycle picks up in coming quarters.
Recommendation:
The capacity ramp up and backward integration will lead to better earnings outlook for the company. Stronger order book is providing better earnings visibility.
Market Outlook
In the view of negative global markets, today our market may see gap down opening and may witness a minor pullback at lower levels. If S&P CNX Nifty falls below psychological 5000 levels then selling pressure may get intense in the market and we may test 4980-4950 levels. On upside if it sustains above 5050 levels with volume support then only further up move may be seen in the market towards 5080-5100 levels. We would advise to keep the position light and remain cautious in the market at higher levels as global markets are weighing heavy on domestic indices.
TATAMOTORS
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 735 to 750 720 788
INFOSYSTCH
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 2685 to 2705 2670 2745
ICICIBANK
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 835 to 848 823 882
Market Outlook
In the continuation of flat global markets, today our market may open steady and move in a range bound manner. If S&P CNX Nifty sustains above 5100 levels with volume support then only further up move may be seen in the market towards 5140- 5160 (which is a crucial medium term resistance for the market) levels. On downside if it falls below 5050 levels then selling pressure may get intense in the market and we may test 5020-5000 levels.
JSWSTEEL
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 1070 to 1085 1095 1040
BIOCON
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 288 to 292 286 299
ADANI ENTERPRISE
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 540 to 550 535 565
Market Outlook
Yesterday S&P CNX Nifty moved in a narrow range in early trading session then witnessed up move led by short covering and closed above 5000 levels. In the continuation of positive global markets, today our market may open positive and move in a range bound manner. If S&P CNX Nifty sustains above an important resistance of 5080 levels then only further up move may be seen in the market towards 5110-5130 levels. On downside if it falls below 5020-5000 levels then only selling pressure may get intense in the market.
RELINFRA
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 1074 to 1092 1065 1124
TECHM
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 663 to 673 658 690
ASHOKLEY
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 59.50 to 61.50 58 66
Market Outlook
Yesterday after a positive opening S&P CNX Nifty witnessed sharp up move led by short covering and moved up till 5015 levels and finally closed above 200 DMA and psychological 5000 levels. In the view of positive global markets, today our market may open positive and move in a range bound manner. If S&P CNX Nifty sustains above 5080 levels then only further up move may be seen in the market towards 5120-5150 levels. On downside if it falls below 5000 levels, then again selling pressure may be seen and we may test 4980-4950 levels.
IDBI
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 108 to 112 106 119
ANDHRA BANK
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 128 to 131 126 137
SYNDICATE BANK
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 86 to 89 84.50 94
Market Outlook
Yesterday after a positive opening S&P CNX Nifty witnessed up move led by short covering and moved up till 4925 levels. In the view of mixed global markets, today our market may open steady and move in a range bound manner. If S&P CNX Nifty falls below 4870 levels, then again selling pressure may be experienced and we may test 4850-4820 levels. On upside if it stays above 4930 levels then only further up move may be seen in the market towards 4950-4980 levels. Market is likely to remain highly volatile ahead of May month F&O expiry.
ASHOKLEYLAND
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 57 to 59 56 63
INFOSYSTCH
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 2590 to 2605 2580 2635
ICICIBANK
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 835 to 845 825 872
Astec Life sciences is engaged in manufacturing and sale of intermediates, active ingredients and formulations in the off patent [generics] category, with main focus on agrochemical [85%] and rest from Pharma segment. It is having full backward integration for its key products, which helps in maintaining better control over costs. It has a strong and experienced management team.
Company is working on contract manufacturing basis and is in negotiations with a couple of large players for long term contracts for its products. It is expected to clinch sizeable deals - which can lead to significant upside in revenue generation from FY 11 onwards.
Increasing registration activities indicates that the company likely to get increasing business from global players, particularly in regulated markets, which will boost margins. Currently Astec has pipeline of 70 registrations in 30 countries. With its strong R&D, it is targeting more & more registrations across the world.
Astec has good clientele network domestically and internationally with world's top 20 agrochemicals companies which gives them the opportunity to expand their product portfolio based on their demands. [Domestic clients include Syngenta India, Indofil chemicals, Atul Ltd, Krishi rasayan exports and international clientele includes Irvita Plant Protection, Nufarm UK ltd, An Nong Co., handelsgesellschaft, Detlef Von Appen etc.]
The company is doing extremely well and has reported around Rs 8 EPS in FY 10, while estimates for FY 11 EPS are much better around Rs 12. Looking to this, this quality stock, available at below 5X of FY11 earnings appears good for investment. BUY with target of Rs 80 in 3-4 months.
Market Outlook
In the continuation of weak global market, today our market may open gap down and may witness selling pressure on rise. S&P CNX Nifty is trading below psychological 5000 levels and 200 DMA (Day moving average) which also indicates the cautious sign in the market. If S&P CNX Nifty falls below 4850 levels, then aggravate selling pressure may be experienced and we may test 4820-4800 levels. On upside if it stays above 4900 levels then only a pull back may be seen led by short covering in the market towards 4950-4980 levels. Caution is advised in the market as global cues are weighing heavy on our markets, any further pressure on global indices may put our market to lower levels.
HINDUNILVR
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 233 to 237 230 246
CIPLA
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 312 to 317 309 327
IDFC
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 152 to 156 158 145
Market Outlook
In the continuation of flat global markets, today our market may open steady and likely to move in a range bound manner. If S&P CNX Nifty sustains above 5200 levels then it may move up further towards 5230-5250 levels. On downside if it falls below 5150 levels, then again selling pressure may be experienced and we may test 5120- 5100 levels.
CROMPGREAV (CROMPTON GRREAVES)
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 245 to 250 243 258
ACC
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 883 to 893 875 915
SESAGOA
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 395 to 400 406 380
RESULTS UPDATE:
For Y/E March'10, company reported consolidated earnings of Rs 29, which is discounting this historical earnings by just 4X. Though earnings were below our expectations, it may be due to higher interest & depreciation charges due to new capacities coming in to operations, as well due to higher pre-operation expenses [as polyester film plants takes longer time to stabilize].
· Uflex is unique kind of Flexible packaging giant in India, with full integration, capturing margins across the value chain - from Film making to converting in to packaging material and final packing of variety of FMCG products.
· FMCG products - particularly daily consumable food and utility items are not affected by any recession or slowdown and hence Uflex's business is also recession proof as it caters to this segment of economy.
· The small unorganized players are far behind in integration and hence they are not able to pose any meaningful threat to its business. Rather due to size, integrated operations and better quality, company gets orders from larger clients and thus offers better earnings visibility.
· The new capacities commissioned in Mexico will add to top line and bottom line from current FY, similarly Egypt facilities will add only partially this year and full from next FY. Once these new facilities are stabilized and reach full contribution stage, the turnover of company may double in couple of years from now.
· So growth potential is immense and this along with recession proof nature of business, deserves a much better discounting for company from current historical 4X.
· The stock valuations are dam cheap now and we think, this should improve substantially from 4X historical to 8X forward, which gives us target of Rs 320 in 12-18 months. But conservatively we look forward to a target of at least Rs 220 in next 12 months.
Market Outlook
In view of mixed global markets, today our market may open steady and move in a range bound manner. If S&P CNX Nifty sustains above 5150 levels then it may move up further towards 5180-5200 levels. On downside if it falls below 5120 levels, then again selling pressure may be experienced and we may test 5080-5050 levels.
JSWSTEEL
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 1205 to 1220 1230 1175
RANBAXY
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 452 to 460 448 472
MCLEOD RUSSEL
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 218 to 221 216 227
Market Outlook
Yesterday after a gap up opening, S&P CNX Nifty recovered smartly led by short covering and finally at the end of day closed near day's high 5200 levels, following the better global cues. In continuation of recovery in domestic as well as global markets our market may open steady and may witness buying interest at every dip. If S&P CNX Nifty sustains above 5230 levels then, it may move up further towards 5250-5280 levels. On downside if Nifty falls below 5180 levels then again selling pressure may be experienced and we may test 5160-5130 levels.
M&M (MAHINDARA & MAHINDARA)
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 545 to 555 540 571
ICICIBANK
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 915 to 925 905 950
TATAMOTORS
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 807 to 817 798 840
Market Outlook
Yesterday after a gap down opening S&P CNX Nifty moved in a narrow range of 5060 to 5100 levels in early trading session, then witnessed recovery till 5130 levels and closed at day's high levels. In continuation of weak global markets today our market may open negative and move in range bound manner. If Nifty falls below 5080 levels then again selling pressure may be experienced and we may test 5050-5020 levels. On upside if it moves above 5160 (which is a major resistance for the market) levels, then only a pullback may be seen till 5180-5200 levels.
INFOSYSTCH
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 2680 to 2695 2668 2730
CIPLA
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 331 to 335 328 343
LT (LARESEN TOUBRO)
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Sell Between Rs 1535 to 1545 1560 1500
POLARIS
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 182 To 186 180 192
ICICIBANK
Execution Price Range Stop Loss
Target
Buy Between Rs 940 to 950 930 975
IDBI
Execution Price Range Stop Loss
Target
Buy Between Rs 120 to 123 118
129
Market Outlook
LUPIN LABS
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 1675 To 1685 1668 1705
NTPC
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 203 to 206 200 213
BPCL
Execution Price Range Stop Loss Target
Buy Between Rs 502 to 506 496 520
· With increasing awareness of masses about cleanliness and hygiene of food consumed during out of home situations, the demand for this kind of packaging is just zooming up.
· Company is trebling it capacity at the cost of Rs 240 Crs, which is completing in April'10 and thus growth potential is huge in coming years.
· Co. is also expanding the range of products to cater to the needs of different set of consumers and focusing on brand building, which will improve realizations and thus margins.
· Company's fundamentals are quite robust, with estimated EPS for current year, over Rs 37-38/- and Cash EPS 55-56. With present BV of Rs 205, and estimated BV of Rs 240 after March'10 results.
The expansion of Rs 240 Crs which is almost complete was funded earlier in 2007-08. At that time company raised about Rs 125 Crs through QIP route [placement to select institutional investors in Jan'08 at Rs 225 to 260 around]. So whereas most of the equity dilution has already happened, the fruits of this mega expansion [which will triple the capacity] will be visible from 2010-11.
The management confidence in outlook of company is visible from sustained rise in promoter's holding from 28.96% in March 09 to around 37% as of today. [after latest 3.09% stake acquisition in April'10].
Further even at current price you are getting shares at about Rs 100/- lower then QIP investors, who bought in Jan'08.
Looking to the robust demand of these products, significant ramp up in capacities and strong fundamentals, the valuations are looking too attractive. We renew our buying recommendation [earlier at Rs 88/- in May'09] with revised target of Rs 225 in next 3-4 months [earlier target was Rs 180/-] BUY.Nifty Target and Stop loss | Over Bought | |||
Lower Tgt 2 | Lower Tgt 1 | Pivot | Upper Tgt 1 | Upper Tgt 2 |
5204.12 | 5253.48 | 5291.52 | 5340.88 | 5378.92 |
Note: - | 1.If Bullish take only Long Position don't short. | |||
2.If Bearish take only Short Position don't long. |
Intraday Buy Tips for | 30-Mar-10 | ||||
NSE Equity code | Buy above | Target (1) | Target (2) | Stop Loss | Target1 Percent |
HINDALCO | 180.10 | 190.00 | 195.85 | 174.30 | 5.50 |
Intraday Sale Tips for | 30-Mar-10 | ||||
NSE Equity code | Sale below | Target (1) | Target (2) | Stop Loss | Target1 Percent |
INOXLEISUR | 63.20 | 61.00 | 58.90 | 64.50 | -3.48 |
NFL | 97.20 | 94.00 | 90.35 | 99.50 | -3.29 |
HINDOILEXP | 230.20 | 224.10 | 217.20 | 234.00 | -2.65 |
DABUR | 162.50 | 158.50 | 154.10 | 164.80 | -2.46 |
GDL | 124.70 | 122.30 | 118.75 | 126.60 | -1.92 |
ENIL | 199.80 | 196.20 | 191.80 | 201.60 | -1.80 |
SUNDRMFAST | 51.10 | 50.20 | 48.85 | 51.70 | -1.76 |
Intraday Sale Tips for | 26-Mar-10 | ||||
NSE Equity code | Sale below | Target (1) | Target (2) | Stop Loss | Target1 Percent |
WSTCSTPAPR | 58.70 | 56.40 | 54.30 | 60.00 | -3.92 |
SAKHTISUG | 61.20 | 58.90 | 56.75 | 62.60 | -3.76 |
NFL | 102.20 | 99.80 | 97.00 | 103.70 | -2.35 |
NDTV | 124.50 | 122.10 | 118.60 | 126.40 | -1.93 |
CANFINHOME | 80.30 | 78.80 | 76.80 | 81.20 | -1.87 |
EKC | 117.10 | 115.30 | 112.45 | 118.40 | -1.54 |
ASAHIINDIA | 59.20 | 58.40 | 57.20 | 59.60 | -1.35 |
NIITLTD | 59.50 | 58.70 | 57.40 | 60.00 | -1.34 |
Nifty Target and Stop loss | Bearish | |||
Lower Tgt 2 | Lower Tgt 1 | Pivot | Upper Tgt 1 | Upper Tgt 2 |
5179.20 | 5219.80 | 5243.55 | 5284.15 | 5307.90 |
Intraday Buy Tips for | 25-Mar-10 | ||||
NSE Equity code | Buy above | Target (1) | Target (2) | Stop Loss | Target1 Percent |
SREINTFIN | 74.10 | 77.30 | 79.40 | 72.00 | 4.32 |
RAJESHEXPO | 104.80 | 108.95 | 111.55 | 102.20 | 3.96 |
KIRLOSOIL | 173.40 | 178.70 | 182.00 | 170.10 | 3.06 |
PETRONET | 78.60 | 80.60 | 81.85 | 77.40 | 2.54 |
Intraday Sale Tips for | 25-Mar-10 | ||||
NSE Equity code | Sale below | Target (1) | Target (2) | Stop Loss | Target1 Percent |
SAKHTISUG | 61.40 | 59.60 | 57.75 | 62.40 | -2.93 |
RENUKA | 73.40 | 71.50 | 69.50 | 74.40 | -2.59 |
PSL | 140.50 | 137.30 | 133.65 | 142.30 | -2.28 |
ORCHIDCHEM | 154.10 | 151.60 | 147.60 | 156.00 | -1.62 |
RCF | 82.30 | 81.00 | 79.05 | 83.10 | -1.58 |
NFL | 104.50 | 103.20 | 100.85 | 105.40 | -1.24 |
NIRMA | 171.20 | 169.30 | 165.70 | 172.60 | -1.11 |
Nifty Target and Stop loss | Mixed Trend | |||
Lower Tgt 2 | Lower Tgt 1 | Pivot | Upper Tgt 1 | Upper Tgt 2 |
5170.57 | 5197.93 | 5220.77 | 5248.13 | 5270.97 |